Why I am nonetheless investing in Singapore (and never simply the US)



Once I inform folks about a few of my latest funding wins, together with a number of 20% – 48% positive factors in latest months, they have an inclination to imagine I’m speaking about progress shares within the US.

Picture Credit: Writer generated, utilizing AI.

Besides that I’m referring to Nice Jap (48%), DBS (25%) and Keppel DC REIT (20%), our domestically listed SGX shares. Whereas others have been flocking to shiny US shares and synthetic intelligence, I appeared for sturdy, undervalued firms that have been being uncared for by the markets…and my efforts have yielded me fairly good ends in a brief time period (all beneath 1 yr).

I’ve at all times maintained that as an investor, we can not afford NOT to spend money on our house market. I began my investing journey in my early 20s with simply Singapore shares and bonds, after which began diversifying into the US and Chinese language markets in my late 20s.

On this article, I’ll share how I’ve been constructing my portfolio to get capital positive factors and passive earnings from investing in Singapore.

1. Put money into essentially sturdy however undervalued firms.

A core standards in my investing is to deal with sturdy, secure firms with a defensible moat and regular progress. The Singapore market has many such names, together with DBS, CapitaLand, Jardine Matheson, Keppel, and extra.

CapitaLand, for example, is called a powerful property developer and asset supervisor not simply in Singapore, but in addition in China, Australia and now has operations in greater than 260 cities globally. Or Keppel, which operates in greater than 20 international locations worldwide, offering vital infrastructure and providers for renewables, clear vitality and extra.

Picture Credit: Writer’s personal compilation.

As these firms develop their presence in Asia, I get capital positive factors from holding their inventory. In fact, should you don’t have time to analyse and choose particular person shares, a straightforward method to get publicity could be via the Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF, which provides you entry to the highest Singapore firms and mechanically rebalances its constituents semi-annually.

2. Conduct scuttlebutt analysis.

Investing in Singaporean firms additionally provides you the possibility to conduct due diligence domestically to search out out deeper insights and on-the-ground realities that aren’t at all times captured in its annual reviews or on the information.

That is also called the “scuttlebutt methodology”, first coined by Phil Fisher in his ebook “Widespread Shares and Unusual Earnings” (see my record of really helpful investing books right here). This will contain speaking to the corporate’s prospects, workers, and doing bodily, on-the-ground analysis to search out out if the narrative being promoted by the corporate is certainly taking form.

Why do prospects proceed to make use of the corporate’s merchandise/providers? What would encourage them to change to a competitor? How troublesome wouldn’t it be for them to change to the competitors? Asking these questions assist us to actually assess the corporate’s moat and the potential switching prices concerned, which makes for a extra sticky enterprise.

It was my scuttlebutt analysis that led me to spend money on DBS above our different 2 native banks. And whereas all 3 have achieved nicely currently – fuelled by the rise in rates of interest – DBS has outperformed its rivals by a big margin. Once I journey to different Asia international locations, I additionally see the DBS brand on buildings and financial institution branches extra typically than I do for OCBC and UOB, which reaffirms to me that DBS’ progress in Asia is quicker and extra widespread than its rivals.

Features in DBS vs. OCBC vs. UOB for the final 5 years:

Compiled by writer, correct as of 8 August 2024 closing day.

Right here’s one other instance: Seize (NASDAQ:GRAB) was simply named as a high inventory choose by The Motley Idiot in April 2024 for its paid subscribers. However as a neighborhood right here, I’m not as satisfied due to what I’m seeing being practiced right here.

In actual fact, when Seize IPO-ed again in 2020, I discussed on my Instagram that I might not purchase in as a result of I felt it was priced at overly optimistic projections, given the on-the-ground struggles I’ve seen Seize right here in Asia. Singapore is only one of Seize’s many markets in Southeast Asia, however after I journey to Malaysia, I prefer to ask the drivers and locals inquiries to see if their utilization of Seize is as sturdy as what the narrative appears to recommend.

It’s more durable for me to conduct scuttlebutt analysis for US shares – which is why I prolonged my latest US journey in Q1 this yr to a grand whole of 10 days in order that I might at the least spend a while testing the companies of a number of US shares that I used to be fascinated by, together with Shopify and Costco.

3. Dividends.

Apart from capital positive factors, I additionally spend money on Singapore shares for passive earnings within the type of dividends.

Once I first began investing within the early 2010s, my capital was small and therefore the dividends I acquired was puny. It was straightforward to dismiss a 6% yearly dividend when your portfolio capital is small, however over time, the scale of my investments grew because the underlying companies grew and expanded.

Let’s not neglect our native Actual Property Funding Trusts (REITs), which have been a mainstay for buyers who search passive earnings – since REITs are mandated to pay 90% of their earnings to buyers as dividends (supply:DBS, 2024).

Though our native REITs suffered a beating in share costs and valuations in recent times, with rates of interest more likely to be lower within the close to time period, I imagine that Singapore REITs are beginning to pattern upwards once more.

Supply: Screenshot from FundSupermart as of 8 August 2024

Which is why I not too long ago invested over $50,000 into the NikkoAM-StraitsTrading Asia ex Japan REIT ETF as a result of I felt it was oversold, and based mostly on publicly out there data on SGX, the trailing 12 month distributions at present yielding an approximate 6% at right now’s rangeshave been ample indication for me personally to receives a commission whereas I look ahead to the restoration within the REIT sector with out having to fret about rights points.

4. Zero taxes or foreign exchange dangers.

Trending on Reddit and social media lately is the S&P 500 and its long- time period attractiveness for funding. However should you’re not based mostly in the USA, I imagine that it’ll be a mistake to blindly comply with this pattern with out figuring out what you’re setting your self up for sooner or later.

That’s as a result of for overseas buyers such as you and I, the US authorities imposes 30% withholding taxes on dividends and as much as 40% property taxes in your US belongings.

US taxes for non-US buyers are to not be scoffed at.
Picture Supply: Inside Income Service

Watch this video should you’re uncertain of how US taxes work for non-US residents.

However right here in Singapore, we don’t have to pay such taxes on our native investments. I don’t get taxed for capital positive factors or dividends (not like my associates over within the US), and if something unlucky have been to ever occur to me, my complete Singapore portfolio will go to my family members as an inheritance with none tax payments to be paid.

To cut back our yearly taxes, we are able to additionally make use of the Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) the place you possibly can contribute as much as $15,300 yearly (or $35,700 should you’re a foreigner) and make investments that in our native bonds, shares or ETFs.

Aside from tax considerations, one other challenge I had with shopping for beaten-down US shares again through the March – April 2020 pandemic crash was the truth that the SGD-USD fee was at an all-time excessive and never in my favour.

Supply: Screenshot from Google Finance

However once we spend money on Singapore, this received’t be an issue since we’ll be investing utilizing SGD. While you’re attempting to construct a diversified portfolio of bonds and equities, that is additionally why it makes extra sense for most individuals to do it domestically with out taking up any FX threat that will erode your funding returns.

Some examples are authorities bonds captured within the ABF Singapore Bond Index Fund, which tracks a basket of high-quality AAA-rated bonds issued primarily by the Singapore Authorities and quasi-Singapore authorities entities. In any other case, company bonds issued by secure, blue-chip issuers resembling NTUC Earnings or Temasek could be accessed via the Nikko AM SGD Funding Grade Company Bond ETF with out having to lock up a lot money in a single, institutional bond alone.

TLDR: Don’t underestimate the potential positive factors it’s possible you’ll make investing in Singapore.

Lately, most younger buyers I meet at occasions have been telling me that they personal US shares or cryptocurrencies, however few communicate of our native SGX investments.

I can perceive why. Nearly all of monetary influencers on social media discuss these items, particularly given how nicely the US markets have achieved within the final yr.

Should you look over at Reddit, the identical narrative is being propagated – spend money on the S&P 500 utilizing dollar-cost averaging and ignore all the pieces else. As such, new buyers might imagine that investing within the US is the one method to go.

However this can be a type of recency bias, the place buyers anticipate comparable returns from the previous to repeat sooner or later. And for my part, the preferred (or most echoed) method…might not at all times be one of the best ways. Particularly should you’re attempting to beat the market.

As an investor, you wish to look the place others are not wanting.
I’ve used this strategy for years and it has labored fantastically nicely for me.

This is the reason my publicity to Singapore shares and bonds proceed to kind a core basis in my funding portfolio. Whereas many youthful buyers are flocking to US shares and cryptocurrencies for fast capital positive factors, I preserve a balanced strategy in the way in which I make investments – which incorporates being vested in my house nation (Singapore) for undervalued shares and passive earnings via dividends. And what higher time than now with Singapore’s 59th birthday developing! Majulah Singapura!

Disclosure: This put up is delivered to you in collaboration with Nikko Asset Administration Asia Restricted (“Nikko AM Asia”). All analysis and opinions are that of my very own. Investments contain dangers, together with the potential lack of principal quantity invested. Not one of the shares or ETFs talked about listed below are a BUY or SELL suggestion; it is best to use this text as a place to begin to get concepts to your personal funding portfolio and make your individual selections as an alternative. And should you want to study extra in regards to the varied ETFs provided by Nikko AM Asia which you should use for SRS and CPF investing, click on into the respective hyperlinks above to retrieve the fund prospectus and efficiency in order that will help you determine whether or not it suits into your funding goals.
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All data on this article is correct as of 8 August 2024.



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